Sunday, May 28, 2017

"World's Best Job" candidates

For those of you unfamiliar with "WBJ", see this defunct Yahoo group. The basic philosophy was to buy a stock prior to the ex-dividend date and sell when the total return is 3%. I'm planning to use this as a precursor to a "Dividend Play" just before the ex-dividend date. I'll start by using a Portfolio123 screen to show me stocks that have:
  1. Weekly options 
  2. At least 4 weeks to go before an earnings report
  3. Ex-dividend date between 15 and 30 days before going ex-dividend
  4. Yield above 3%
  5. 19 years of increased dividends
Then I'll monitor them with StockCharts.com, planning to buy on a price weakness, defined as RSI(2) under 20. For example, the current candidates:
 
http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/candleglance.html?KO,MCY,OMI,TROW|B|B2|-1

I also have a workbook that calculates possible limit prices for RSI(2) being breached. For example:

TickerCurrent RSILast PriceBuy Target
OMI29.5$31.91$31.79
TROW48.5$69.70$68.80
MCY55.8$55.66$55.07
KO94.7$45.39$44.60
 

Friday, May 26, 2017

MCD -- Closed Dividend Play

This call will be exercised over the weekend. They did declare the dividend -- it will go ex-dividend on 2017-06-01 for $0.94. I'll check on Tuesday for writing another call.

Date Description AmountROIaROIProfit
2017-05-23Buy MCD @ $148.05-$148.05
2017-05-24Sell MCD 5/26 2017 $148.00 Call @ $0.78$0.78
2017-05-26Asgn MCD @ $148.00$148.000.49%59.99%$0.73
2017-05-26Buy and Hold$149.861.22%--$1.81
 

Thursday, May 25, 2017

JNJ -- Closed Dividend Play

The call was assigned early because of the stock going ex-dividend. So, small profit. But quick.

Date Description AmountROIaROIProfit
2017-05-23Buy JNJ @ $127.55-$127.55
2017-05-23Sell JNJ 5/26 2017 $127.00 Call @ $0.76$0.76
2017-05-24Asgn JNJ @ $127.00$127.000.16%60.09%$0.21
2017-05-24Buy and Hold$127.51-0.03%---$0.04
 

Wednesday, May 24, 2017

MCD -- New Dividend Play

I anticipate MCD will go ex-dividend sometime next week, but this week's expiration looked profitable. I set a limit order last night that executed today.

Date Description AmountROIaROIProfit
2017-05-23Buy MCD @ $148.05-$148.05
2017-05-24Sell MCD 5/26 2017 $148.00 Call @ $0.78$0.78
2017-05-26If assigned at expiration$148.000.49%59.99%$0.73
2017-05-24Current value$148.000.49%179.97%$0.73
2017-05-24Buy and Hold$148.820.52%--$0.77
 

Tuesday, May 23, 2017

JNJ -- New Dividend Play

JNJ is going ex-dividend for $0.84 on 2017-05-25. Normally, I like to see an aROI of 30% or better, but I liked the numbers on this one. If it gets exercised tomorrow night, I get to pocket $0.21 a share. Otherwise, I collect that $0.84 dividend and all of the intrinsic value on the call I'm selling. A risk I don't mind taking...

Date Description AmountROIaROIProfit
2017-05-23Buy JNJ @ $127.55-$127.55
2017-05-23Sell JNJ 5/26 2017 $127.00 Call @ $0.76$0.76
2017-05-26If assigned at expiration$127.000.16%20.03%$0.21
2017-05-23Current value$127.000.16%60.09%$0.21
2017-05-23Buy and Hold$127.560.01%--$0.01
 

Monday, May 22, 2017

Possible dividend plays for tomorrow

Stocks with weekly options in the "Upcoming Dividends" workbook:

TickerOptionsEstimated Ex-dividend dateWeekYieldEx-dividend dateWarning
JNJWxxxx-05-2512.65%2017-05-25
PEPWxxxx-05-3122.83%2017-05-31
MCDWxxxx-06-0222.54%2017-02-27<===

I also ran the "Upcoming Dividends" screen on P123, and it came up with: JNJ / PEP / KO. Which more or less matches, because MCD has not yet declared the dividend and KO is farther out that I look for in the above workbook.



Running those through the "CC-List" workbook:

TickerLast PriceStrikeRIURIED/PaROICall DescriptionBid Price
MCD$148.15ITM0.6%0.6%0.7%31.7%MCD 5/26 2017 $148.00 Call$1.05
JNJ$127.00ITM0.5%0.5%0.5%25.0%JNJ 5/26 2017 $127.00 Call$0.61
PEP$113.69OTM0.5%0.7%0.5%24.8%PEP 5/26 2017 $114.00 Call$0.54

OK, but not stellar, so next step for each.



Running each of those through the "CC-Roll" workbook:

ActionTicker SymbolPivotPriceExtrinsic
Ex-Div?Earn?
Buy or ownedMCD$0.00$148.15--
2017-06-022017-07-25
ActionTicker SymbolBid PriceExtrinsicProfitaROIDividendsEarn Rpt
Sell to openMCD 5/26 2017 $148.00 Call$1.05$0.90$0.9031.7%----








ActionTicker SymbolPivotPriceExtrinsic
Ex-Div?Earn?
Buy or ownedJNJ$0.00$127.00--
2017-05-202017-07-18
ActionTicker SymbolBid PriceExtrinsicProfitaROIDividendsEarn Rpt
Sell to openJNJ 5/26 2017 $127.00 Call$0.61$0.61$0.6125.0%$0.80--








ActionTicker SymbolPivotPriceExtrinsic
Ex-Div?Earn?
Buy or ownedPEP$0.00$113.69--
2017-06-012017-07-06
ActionTicker SymbolBid PriceExtrinsicProfitaROIDividendsEarn Rpt
Sell to openPEP 5/26 2017 $114.00 Call$0.54$0.54$0.5424.8%----

I may check to see how they progress in the morning.



In addition, since the IWM / TGT / WFC positions no longer have outstanding calls written against them, I checked them out as well:

ActionTicker SymbolPivotPriceExtrinsic
Ex-Div?Earn?
Buy or ownedIWM$138.00$136.03--
2017-07-06--
ActionTicker SymbolBid PriceExtrinsicProfitaROIDividendsEarn Rpt
Sell to openIWM 6/16 2017 $138.00 Call$1.24$1.24$1.2411.7%----
Sell to openIWM 6/23 2017 $138.00 Call$1.54$1.54$1.5411.6%----
Sell to openIWM 6/30 2017 $138.00 Call$1.83$1.83$1.8311.5%----
Sell to openIWM 6/9 2017 $138.00 Call$0.88$0.88$0.8811.1%----
Sell to openIWM 6/2 2017 $138.00 Call$0.55$0.55$0.5510.4%----
Sell to openIWM 6/23 2017 $138.50 Call$1.34$1.34$1.3410.1%----
Sell to openIWM 7/21 2017 $138.00 Call$2.35$2.35$2.359.9%$0.39--








ActionTicker SymbolPivotPriceExtrinsic
Ex-Div?Earn?
Buy or ownedTGT$58.00$55.99--
2017-08-152017-08-16
ActionTicker SymbolBid PriceExtrinsicProfitaROIDividendsEarn Rpt
Sell to openTGT 6/23 2017 $58.00 Call$0.57$0.57$0.5710.2%----
Sell to openTGT 6/30 2017 $58.00 Call$0.68$0.68$0.6810.2%----








ActionTicker SymbolPivotPriceExtrinsic
Ex-Div?Earn?
Buy or ownedWFC$57.50$53.06--
2017-08-032017-07-21
ActionTicker SymbolBid PriceExtrinsicProfitaROIDividendsEarn Rpt
Sell to openWFC 1/19 2018 $57.50 Call$1.59$1.59$1.594.1%$0.76XXX
Sell to openWFC 10/20 2017 $57.50 Call$0.99$0.99$0.994.1%$0.38XXX
Sell to openWFC 6/15 2018 $57.50 Call$2.33$2.33$2.333.8%$1.52XXX
Sell to openWFC 1/18 2019 $57.50 Call$3.60$3.60$3.603.8%$2.28XXX

WFC is still too far down to think about writing a new call.

However, I did put in two GTC limit orders for tomorrow:

TGT 6/23 2017 $58.00 Call @ $1.00
IWM 6/2 2017 $138.00 Call @ $1.00

Unlikely to trade, but at this point I can be patient. I just thought I'd put the orders out there in case there is a bump up.


 

Sunday, May 21, 2017

WMT -- Closed Dividend Play

The call was exercised over the weekend:

Date Description AmountROIaROIProfit
2017-05-09Buy WMT @ $77.00-$77.00
2017-05-09Sell WMT 5/19 2017 $76.50 Call @ $1.25$1.25
2017-05-10Div WMT @ $0.51$0.51
2017-05-19Asgn WMT @ $76.50$76.501.64%59.73%$1.26
2017-05-19Buy and Hold$78.772.96%--$2.28