Sunday, May 28, 2017

"World's Best Job" candidates

For those of you unfamiliar with "WBJ", see this defunct Yahoo group. The basic philosophy was to buy a stock prior to the ex-dividend date and sell when the total return is 3%. I'm planning to use this as a precursor to a "Dividend Play" just before the ex-dividend date. I'll start by using a Portfolio123 screen to show me stocks that have:
  1. Weekly options 
  2. At least 4 weeks to go before an earnings report
  3. Ex-dividend date between 15 and 30 days before going ex-dividend
  4. Yield above 3%
  5. 19 years of increased dividends
Then I'll monitor them with StockCharts.com, planning to buy on a price weakness, defined as RSI(2) under 20. For example, the current candidates:
 
http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/candleglance.html?KO,MCY,OMI,TROW|B|B2|-1

I also have a workbook that calculates possible limit prices for RSI(2) being breached. For example:

TickerCurrent RSILast PriceBuy Target
OMI29.5$31.91$31.79
TROW48.5$69.70$68.80
MCY55.8$55.66$55.07
KO94.7$45.39$44.60
 

Friday, May 26, 2017

MCD -- Closed Dividend Play

This call will be exercised over the weekend. They did declare the dividend -- it will go ex-dividend on 2017-06-01 for $0.94. I'll check on Tuesday for writing another call.

Date Description AmountROIaROIProfit
2017-05-23Buy MCD @ $148.05-$148.05
2017-05-24Sell MCD 5/26 2017 $148.00 Call @ $0.78$0.78
2017-05-26Asgn MCD @ $148.00$148.000.49%59.99%$0.73
2017-05-26Buy and Hold$149.861.22%--$1.81
 

Thursday, May 25, 2017

JNJ -- Closed Dividend Play

The call was assigned early because of the stock going ex-dividend. So, small profit. But quick.

Date Description AmountROIaROIProfit
2017-05-23Buy JNJ @ $127.55-$127.55
2017-05-23Sell JNJ 5/26 2017 $127.00 Call @ $0.76$0.76
2017-05-24Asgn JNJ @ $127.00$127.000.16%60.09%$0.21
2017-05-24Buy and Hold$127.51-0.03%---$0.04
 

Wednesday, May 24, 2017

MCD -- New Dividend Play

I anticipate MCD will go ex-dividend sometime next week, but this week's expiration looked profitable. I set a limit order last night that executed today.

Date Description AmountROIaROIProfit
2017-05-23Buy MCD @ $148.05-$148.05
2017-05-24Sell MCD 5/26 2017 $148.00 Call @ $0.78$0.78
2017-05-26If assigned at expiration$148.000.49%59.99%$0.73
2017-05-24Current value$148.000.49%179.97%$0.73
2017-05-24Buy and Hold$148.820.52%--$0.77
 

Tuesday, May 23, 2017

JNJ -- New Dividend Play

JNJ is going ex-dividend for $0.84 on 2017-05-25. Normally, I like to see an aROI of 30% or better, but I liked the numbers on this one. If it gets exercised tomorrow night, I get to pocket $0.21 a share. Otherwise, I collect that $0.84 dividend and all of the intrinsic value on the call I'm selling. A risk I don't mind taking...

Date Description AmountROIaROIProfit
2017-05-23Buy JNJ @ $127.55-$127.55
2017-05-23Sell JNJ 5/26 2017 $127.00 Call @ $0.76$0.76
2017-05-26If assigned at expiration$127.000.16%20.03%$0.21
2017-05-23Current value$127.000.16%60.09%$0.21
2017-05-23Buy and Hold$127.560.01%--$0.01
 

Monday, May 22, 2017

Possible dividend plays for tomorrow

Stocks with weekly options in the "Upcoming Dividends" workbook:

TickerOptionsEstimated Ex-dividend dateWeekYieldEx-dividend dateWarning
JNJWxxxx-05-2512.65%2017-05-25
PEPWxxxx-05-3122.83%2017-05-31
MCDWxxxx-06-0222.54%2017-02-27<===

I also ran the "Upcoming Dividends" screen on P123, and it came up with: JNJ / PEP / KO. Which more or less matches, because MCD has not yet declared the dividend and KO is farther out that I look for in the above workbook.



Running those through the "CC-List" workbook:

TickerLast PriceStrikeRIURIED/PaROICall DescriptionBid Price
MCD$148.15ITM0.6%0.6%0.7%31.7%MCD 5/26 2017 $148.00 Call$1.05
JNJ$127.00ITM0.5%0.5%0.5%25.0%JNJ 5/26 2017 $127.00 Call$0.61
PEP$113.69OTM0.5%0.7%0.5%24.8%PEP 5/26 2017 $114.00 Call$0.54

OK, but not stellar, so next step for each.



Running each of those through the "CC-Roll" workbook:

ActionTicker SymbolPivotPriceExtrinsic
Ex-Div?Earn?
Buy or ownedMCD$0.00$148.15--
2017-06-022017-07-25
ActionTicker SymbolBid PriceExtrinsicProfitaROIDividendsEarn Rpt
Sell to openMCD 5/26 2017 $148.00 Call$1.05$0.90$0.9031.7%----








ActionTicker SymbolPivotPriceExtrinsic
Ex-Div?Earn?
Buy or ownedJNJ$0.00$127.00--
2017-05-202017-07-18
ActionTicker SymbolBid PriceExtrinsicProfitaROIDividendsEarn Rpt
Sell to openJNJ 5/26 2017 $127.00 Call$0.61$0.61$0.6125.0%$0.80--








ActionTicker SymbolPivotPriceExtrinsic
Ex-Div?Earn?
Buy or ownedPEP$0.00$113.69--
2017-06-012017-07-06
ActionTicker SymbolBid PriceExtrinsicProfitaROIDividendsEarn Rpt
Sell to openPEP 5/26 2017 $114.00 Call$0.54$0.54$0.5424.8%----

I may check to see how they progress in the morning.



In addition, since the IWM / TGT / WFC positions no longer have outstanding calls written against them, I checked them out as well:

ActionTicker SymbolPivotPriceExtrinsic
Ex-Div?Earn?
Buy or ownedIWM$138.00$136.03--
2017-07-06--
ActionTicker SymbolBid PriceExtrinsicProfitaROIDividendsEarn Rpt
Sell to openIWM 6/16 2017 $138.00 Call$1.24$1.24$1.2411.7%----
Sell to openIWM 6/23 2017 $138.00 Call$1.54$1.54$1.5411.6%----
Sell to openIWM 6/30 2017 $138.00 Call$1.83$1.83$1.8311.5%----
Sell to openIWM 6/9 2017 $138.00 Call$0.88$0.88$0.8811.1%----
Sell to openIWM 6/2 2017 $138.00 Call$0.55$0.55$0.5510.4%----
Sell to openIWM 6/23 2017 $138.50 Call$1.34$1.34$1.3410.1%----
Sell to openIWM 7/21 2017 $138.00 Call$2.35$2.35$2.359.9%$0.39--








ActionTicker SymbolPivotPriceExtrinsic
Ex-Div?Earn?
Buy or ownedTGT$58.00$55.99--
2017-08-152017-08-16
ActionTicker SymbolBid PriceExtrinsicProfitaROIDividendsEarn Rpt
Sell to openTGT 6/23 2017 $58.00 Call$0.57$0.57$0.5710.2%----
Sell to openTGT 6/30 2017 $58.00 Call$0.68$0.68$0.6810.2%----








ActionTicker SymbolPivotPriceExtrinsic
Ex-Div?Earn?
Buy or ownedWFC$57.50$53.06--
2017-08-032017-07-21
ActionTicker SymbolBid PriceExtrinsicProfitaROIDividendsEarn Rpt
Sell to openWFC 1/19 2018 $57.50 Call$1.59$1.59$1.594.1%$0.76XXX
Sell to openWFC 10/20 2017 $57.50 Call$0.99$0.99$0.994.1%$0.38XXX
Sell to openWFC 6/15 2018 $57.50 Call$2.33$2.33$2.333.8%$1.52XXX
Sell to openWFC 1/18 2019 $57.50 Call$3.60$3.60$3.603.8%$2.28XXX

WFC is still too far down to think about writing a new call.

However, I did put in two GTC limit orders for tomorrow:

TGT 6/23 2017 $58.00 Call @ $1.00
IWM 6/2 2017 $138.00 Call @ $1.00

Unlikely to trade, but at this point I can be patient. I just thought I'd put the orders out there in case there is a bump up.


 

Sunday, May 21, 2017

WMT -- Closed Dividend Play

The call was exercised over the weekend:

Date Description AmountROIaROIProfit
2017-05-09Buy WMT @ $77.00-$77.00
2017-05-09Sell WMT 5/19 2017 $76.50 Call @ $1.25$1.25
2017-05-10Div WMT @ $0.51$0.51
2017-05-19Asgn WMT @ $76.50$76.501.64%59.73%$1.26
2017-05-19Buy and Hold$78.772.96%--$2.28
 

HP -- Closed Dividend Play

The call was exercised over the weekend:

Date Description AmountROIaROIProfit
2017-05-09Buy HP @ $58.13-$58.13
2017-05-09Sell HP 5/19 2017 $57.50 Call @ $1.30$1.30
2017-05-17Div HP @ $0.70$0.70
2017-05-19Asgn HP @ $57.50$57.502.36%86.02%$1.37
2017-05-19Buy and Hold$60.044.49%--$2.61
 

COP -- Closed Dividend Play

The call was exercised over the weekend:

Date Description AmountROIaROIProfit
2017-05-09Buy COP @ $46.20-$46.20
2017-05-09Sell COP 5/19 2017 $46.00 Call @ $0.68$0.68
2017-05-11Div COP @ $0.27$0.27
2017-05-19Asgn COP @ $46.00$46.001.61%58.86%$0.75
2017-05-19Buy and Hold$47.483.34%--$1.55
 

Wednesday, May 10, 2017

Portfolio123 Dividend Screener

Used the Portfolio123 screener to create a list of upcoming dividend payers. The rules I used:
  • showVar(@Yield, Yield)
  • showVar(@ExDays, DaysToDivEx)
  • (@ExDays > 1) * (@ExDays < 30) * (@Yield > 2.5)
  • showVar(@Count,LoopSum("DivPS(CTR,TTM,#Regular,#ExDate,FALSE) > DivPS(CTR+1,TTM,#Regular,#ExDate,FALSE)", 19))
  • @Count=19
Basically, stocks with ex-dividend days coming up within 2 to 30 days (today would be 1, so not interested) that pay at least a 2.5% annual yield and have increased the dividend per share for the last 19 years.  I ended up with:

TickerNameLastMktCap@ExDays@Yield@Count
VVCVectren Corp$59.11$4,906.1322.8419
UPSUnited Parcel Service Inc$106.51$92,450.6823.1219
SOSouthern Co (The)$49.98$49,710.0624.6419
SEPSpectra Energy Partners LP$44.18$13,625.1126.3519
ARTNAArtesian Resources Corp$36.05$329.0322.5719
ALEALLETE Inc.$69.40$3,531.2823.0819
CNPCenterPoint Energy Inc.$27.45$11,829.8033.9019
VLOValero Energy Corp$66.63$30,083.5864.2019
TGTTarget Corp$58.08$32,301.5464.1319
SPGSimon Property Group Inc.$162.46$50,720.3464.3119
MPCMarathon Petroleum Corp$51.46$26,707.7462.8019
EDConsolidated Edison Inc.$78.81$24,037.0563.5019
BMSBemis Co Inc$44.76$4,117.9262.6819
AMGNAmgen Inc$163.22$120,146.2462.8219
TRIThomson Reuters Corp$44.17$32,131.1673.1219
RECNResources Connection Inc$13.85$410.6073.1819
PSXPhillips 66$79.60$41,081.4073.5219
BKHBlack Hills Corp$67.84$3,626.7972.6219
TSOTesoro Corp$83.47$9,757.6482.6419
DUKDuke Energy Corp$82.11$57,477.0084.1719
CMICummins Inc.$157.75$26,391.5882.6019
RRyder System Inc$67.45$3,612.6292.6119
SWMSchweitzer-Mauduit Intl Inc$39.36$1,208.04134.2719
SIXSix Flags Entertainment Corp$62.72$5,723.64144.0819
HOGHarley-Davidson Inc.$56.22$9,840.64142.6019
NUSNu Skin Enterprises Inc.$57.05$3,000.83152.5219
JNJJohnson & Johnson$123.21$332,039.73162.7319
GXPGreat Plains Energy Inc$28.05$6,047.55163.9219
RLIRLI Corp$55.91$2,458.36175.0819
QCOMQUALCOMM Inc.$55.15$81,456.55174.1319
ESEversource Energy$59.35$18,807.18173.2019
BIPBrookfield Infrastructure Partners LP$39.68$10,292.99174.3919
PIIPolaris Industries Inc$91.20$5,744.60212.5419
MXIMMaxim Integrated Products Inc.$45.90$12,968.82212.8819
LMTLockheed Martin Corp$273.87$78,874.56212.6619
KKellogg Co$70.85$24,797.50212.9419
CNSCohen & Steers Inc$38.98$1,788.79214.1619
CMPCompass Minerals International Inc.$69.25$2,339.89214.1619
PEPPepsiCo Inc$112.72$161,189.60222.8619
AROWArrow Financial Corp$33.55$452.29222.9819
AJGArthur J. Gallagher & Co.$55.22$9,912.76222.8319
WHGWestwood Holdings Group Inc.$54.86$483.32294.5219
VFCV.F. Corp$55.58$23,010.84293.0219
SJISouth Jersey Industries Inc.$35.52$2,823.06293.0719
PEGPublic Service Enterprise Group Inc$42.95$21,689.75294.0019
KMBKimberly-Clark Corp$128.21$45,540.20293.0319
GPCGenuine Parts Co$92.83$13,682.59292.9119
AUBNAuburn National BanCorp Inc$36.50$133.01292.5219